You can sell early if you want to. com make it easy to convert BTC, ETH, SOL and just about any token you might own into USDC. Is Binance Big Enough to Survive a $4. House Majority Leader, Eric Cantor, in the 2014. Round. Participants purchase outcome shares for under $1, which can be traded at any time and become worth $1 if the predicted outcome is correct. 9 million followers. Amid the election excitement, decentralized predictions site Polymarket has become the fourth-highest blockchain project by fees generated. A coin issued by Tether has grown to almost $70 billion from $21 billion. On Polymarket, investors have priced the likelihood of a Trump indictment happening by March 31 at 68%, or 68 cents. American University ( PhD) David Alan Brat (born July 27, 1964) is an American politician and academic. As is well known, however, the founder of ADA, Charles Hoskinson seems to have been criticized for his projections that did not meet some of the expectations within the crypto community. Trump trial nears end as prosecutors confident he ‘didn’t have the goods’. Polymarket is an information markets platform that lets you trade on the world’s most highly-debated topics like crypto, politics, sports, current events, and more. If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e. The resolution sourc. Either it is in favour of the outcome (we can call it the “yes” bet), or; Against the outcome (the “no” bet). president. Information on valuation, funding, cap tables, investors, and executives for Polymarket. The order finds that, beginning in approximately June 2020, Polymarket had been operating an illegal unregistered or non-designated facility for event-based binary options online trading contracts, known as “event markets. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2024 election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if. Milan. 4 million by regulators. Win unique prizes and a permanent place in Polymarket history. Co-Founder, CEO @PowerLoomHQ. Plus, insights on former President Trump's possible presidential run in 2024. It turned into a resurgent moment — albeit a dark one — for online prediction markets. The platform, launched in July 2021, is the first federally regulated exchange for trading on real-world events and enables both retail and institutional investors to make wagers on diverse events spanning from economics and politics to entertainment and culture. Polymarket Predicts Republicans Winning Both House and Senate Balance of power: Republicans, Democrats battle for control of House, Senate in midterm elections Republicans confident of House control but Senate remains close as first polls close US midterms: Republicans take sizeable lead in House, Senate neck-to-neckBalance of power: Republicans, Democrats battle for control of House, Senate in midterm elections Polymarket Predicts Republicans Winning Both House and Senate Big Oil Spent $13 Million to Boost Republicans in These 3 Toss-Up Senate Races How Republicans will take back the Senate Tuesday night Polymarket Predicts Republicans. 8-12 — Murder She Bet: a murder mystery + a low-tech. Polymarket predicts a Republican takeover in Tuesday's U. " This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Ilya officially ends his affiliation with OpenAI for any reason. "Person of the Year" (called Man of the Year or Woman of the Year until 1999) is an annual issue of the United States news magazine and website "TIME" that features and profiles a person, group, idea, or object that "for better or for worse. The Block. Conversely, people can bet $0. g. 4 million by the CFTC and will also be forced to shut down some of its markets. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market drew $2. In public key cryptography, each user has a pair of cryptographic keys : a public key. . Otherwise, they. Today we are excited to announce The Graph support for Polygon - Ethereum’s Internet of Blockchains (formerly Matic Network, a side chain for Ethereum) -. People are incentivized to help through a relayer fee. The advantage of this setup is that an open system can allow “anyone, anywhere to create markets on anything,” as Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan puts it. S. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including Any replacement of the nominee before election day. Polymarket is an information markets platform that lets you trade on the world’s most highly-debated topics like crypto, politics, sports, current events, and more. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) recently announced a settlement with the company that operates Polymarket, a blockchain-powered online trading platform that allows users to bet on the outcomes of binary events. A team from Korea University led by Lee Sukbae (이석배) and Kim Ji-Hoon (김지훈) began studying this material as a potential superconductor starting in 1999. Security. On Polymarket, it currently costs 71. About 250 attendees spent 3 days listening to talks & attending workshops from Nate Silver, Emmett Shear, Robin Hanson, Scott Alexander, Dylan Matthews, as well as from founders & CEOs at Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. president. Plus, insights on former President Trump's possible presidential run in 2024. Polymarket | The 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election is scheduled to take place on February 28, 2023. The order further finds that Polymarket has offered more than 900 separate event markets since its inception, while deploying smart contracts hosted on a blockchain to operate the markets. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. But how accurate are prediction markets? Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan explains why these markets are "a. S. Shayne Coplan. Just be careful about the transaction costs and the rewards to the liquidity providers. Here we aim to provide a robust explanation and understanding of how our protocol works. 4 million fine. Betfair in Britain runs a robust market. "This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U. According to DeFi Llama, Polymarket has a total of $7. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Donald Trump is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source. Senate seats and 36 governorships. Revenue. More than $1 million has been bet on the question, according to Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is. Profit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No. Report incorrect company information. midterm elections: Be ready for a long night and maybe days of waiting before it's clear whether Republicans or President Joe Biden 's Democrats will control. This market may only resolve to "No" once November 8, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET has passed. Once the market has been resolved, users can cash in. Orders for any amount can be created and listed, or fetched and read from the order book for a given market. Co-Founder, CEO @PowerLoomHQ. The U. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Ukraine and Russia both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. This is a market on whether Arbitrum ( will both launch and airdrop a native token by March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Art Malkov. However, U. One of Polymarket'ss most popular polls shows that the Ethereum-based prediction market's users are betting Republicans will win the midterms. 7-8 — Workshop: How to Write Good Forecasting Questions. 00 Nahel: €465,969. . Edit Lists Featuring This Company Section. “‘Wen token?’ is one of the most asked questions in crypto,” Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan told CoinDesk. The agency’s order is its first major enforcement action in the blockchain space since the Commission’s new chair. ) by November 24, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Kalshi's 2020 regulatory approval followed by the launch of the exchange in January 2022 opened up the market, as the first regulated exchange to offer event contracts. Profit. Search markets. Kalshi Inc. On Polymarket, shares of the Yes. Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ronald Dion de Santis wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U. James Patrick Gorman [1] AO (born 14 July 1958) is an Australian-American financier who is the chairman and chief executive officer of Morgan Stanley. If you’re interested in earning 4-5% APY…. Cryptocurrency predictions site Polymarket has started its 2022 Midterms Live Forecast and is predicting Republicans will comfortably control both the U. S. Naturally, this. Last Funding Type Seed. Story by Sam Reynolds • 6h Betters on decentralized prediction platform Polymarket really aren't sure if Sam Altman will be coming back as OpenAI's chief. 3, Polymarket settled with the CFTC for $1. ” Read more >>Skip to main content Bitcoin Insider. Polymarket. S. Polymarket is an information markets platform that lets you trade on the world’s most highly-debated topics like crypto, politics, sports, current events, and more. An EU candidate country is a country applying to become a member state of the European Union. You can see the probabilities according to an actual free. Polymarket said in response that it would close three markets. Public-key cryptography, also called asymmetric cryptography, is a communication where people send messages that can only be read by those who have the key. . Polymarket | 'Avatar: The Way of Water' (2022) is an upcoming American action adventure fantasy sci-fi film produced by 20th Century Studios. This market will resolve to "Yes". Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nimrata Nikki Haley wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins. Champions League Winner. His handle @realDonaldTrump had over 88. Well, because of the Sandwich bot issue, I couldn't be bothered to figure out how to bridge funds & LP via a relayer as some roundabout way to actually place bets (which was an intermediate way the team found to avoid the bots, but wasn't exactly the best UI) while my crypto experience extended to having some play-funds on Aave & more reading than. This is a market on if Donald Trump will be President of the United States on March 31, 2021, 12pm EST. S. Bet on the Ethereum Merge on Polymarket With Ethereum 2. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan explains why t. Plus, insights on former President Trump's possible presidential run in 2024. Register Now Betters on decentralized prediction platform Polymarket really. g. Speculators can now bet on whether big-name crypto projects will airdrop a native token in Q1 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF is sentenced to 50 or more years in prison for the charges for which he is presently on trial (as of Oct 3, 2023) by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. 3B Fine and Founder. June 22, 2023. midterm elections. 9. I said that I would call these “trades” bets. Retaining relative stability through 2020, MATIC has been on a tear in 2021. Paul Gosar and other Republicans, poised to recapture House, want to impeach President Joe Biden Polymarket Predicts Republicans Winning Both House and Senate Chris Hayes: If Republicans win, Trump will be the ‘shadow Speaker of the House’ Indiana elections 2022: Republicans aiming for longtime Democratic NW IN US House seatUMA’s #optimisticoracle is a powerful and flexible tool that can bring any type of real-world data on-chain to settle smart contracts or transactions in protocols like Polymarket, a leading #. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including Any replacement of the nominee before election day. Some of the common topics that people trade on the platform include: Politics; Current events; Crypto; Financial markets ; On PolyMarket, you develop a portfolio based on your forecast and earn a profit if you are. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. New York Seed Stage Companies With Less Than $10M in Revenue . Polymarket creates, defines, hosts, and resolves the trading and execution of contracts for the event-based binary option markets offered on its website. This year, all 435 seats in the US House of Representatives, as well as 35 seats in the Senate are being contested. Polymarket | This is a group market on which parties will win different states in the 2022 U. Last updated on: September 21, 2022, 02:17h. MAIL. This market will resolve to “Yes” if at any time before July 1, 2021, 12:00 AM ET, an official announcement is made by the City of New York which has the effect of allowing all of the following to reopen at full capacity: restaurants, stores, shops,. com) (“Polymarket”) with offering off-exchange binary options contracts and failing to register with the CFTC as a designated contract market or swap execution facility as required under the Commodity Exchange. Founder & Chief Executive Officer at Polymarket Shayne Coplan is the Founder & Chief Executive Officer at Polymarket based in New York City, New York. Polymarket Predicts Republicans Winning Both House and Senate. " More for You. Sponsored. Sponsored. Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tucker Carlson wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U. Otherwise, they become worthless. Subgraphs (by Satsuma) Speedy indexing for custom GraphQL. Business Services Multimedia & Graphic Design. S. The CFTC has ordered Polymarket to pay a civil monetary penalty of $1. They do not currently take a cut of the total trading fees paid by traders (revenue). Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? $259,826. About us. coronavirus, politics, current events, etc). Polymart is a completely custom website. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan discusses the accuracy of prediction markets. S. All NewOn January 3, 2022, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (the “CFTC”) entered an order charging Blockratize, Inc. En Polymarket, las acciones del lado Sí del contrato "Sam vuelve como CEO de OpenAI" se cotizan actualmente a 55 centavos, lo que representa la creencia del mercado de que el lado Sí tiene un 55. On Polymarket, shares of the Yes. Enter your email in the space provided, then click Sign up with email. Plus, why the bankrupt crypto exchange FTX is now a “lost cause. March 13, 2020—In light of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic, the CFTC continues to achieve its regulatory mission as almost all CFTC staff begin an extended period of maximum telework. S. Polymarket. Polymarket predicts a Republican takeover in Tuesday's U. Speaking to Cointelegraph, Polymarket founder, Shayne Coplan, said the platform was designed to find answers to issues “people really want to know about rather than just things that they want to. By contrast, Polymarket founder. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No. . . 5 billion in January to now have a $43 billion market cap. Voters could opt for change again this year, as Republicans are in a strong position to gain majorities in the House and possibly the Senate, both of which are now led by Democrats. Getting StartedBefore Polymarket, I was confident in my ability to estimate odds for different events. Polymarket | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first A-Z character in the next tweet posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as "SBF") verified Twitter a. Odds of a guilty verdict of any charges are about 98%, with a 61% chance that he will be found guilty of all charges. Then they can predict future market trends and enter trades. This market will resolve to "Palestine" if a Palestinian-related group (Hamas, PiJ, etc. About. S. Completed. One fast-rising star in the scalability race is Polygon, a sidechain network that is slowly becoming a second home to many Ethereum projects. The market value of USD coin is now $32. Conversely, people can bet $0. On Polymarket, shares of the Yes. Otherwise, this ma. Events. ". fka Union. LK-99 (from the Lee-Kim 1999 research) is a gray–black, polycrystalline compound, identified as a copper-doped lead‒oxyapatite. The CFTC is investigating whether Polymarket is allowing clients to trade swaps and binary options and whether it requires registration. On the email you used to sign up, you’ll see an email. Launched in 2020, Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows you to stake tokens on the outcome of current events like elections, sports, and current events, while earning cryptocurrency for your correct insights. But it’s hard to use. The correct token allowances must be set before orders can be placed. m. Senate seats and 36 governorships. Polymarket is not the only platform rendering the decentralized prediction service; at the beginning of this month, Augur unveiled a polygon deployment of its platform. Online punters put slim chances on Sam Bankman-Fried avoiding jail time. Polymarket’s Airdrop Futures is deployed on Polygon and uses the decentralized oracle protocol UMA to resolve the bets. Republicans are expected to win back control of the House in Tuesday’s midterm elections, but the precise margin of any GOP victory will likely take days, if not longer, to finalizeInterview with ParaSwap CEO and founder, Mounir Benchemled. D. More for You. More for You. $28M. Previously, Shayne was the Intern at Chroni cled and also held positions at Genius Media Group. The company is built on blockchain with crypto-native payment and contract resolution rails, with the focus on a frictionless user experience and holistic information portal. More for You. Over $250,000 in liquidity was built up in prediction market contracts on Polymarket over the weekend, from the serious to the absurd. On. To deposit into Polymarket, the users can either use centralized exchanges such as Binance and FTX, or use decentralized wallets like Metamask. The latest New York Times/Siena College poll shows that for the 2024 election, President Biden is trailing former President Donald J. S. Source: Polymarket Homepage. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Bankman-Fried, co-founder and CEO of FTX, is indicted on federal charges or otherwise formally charged with any federal crime by the United States of America between November 10, 2022 and December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan explains why these markets are "a canonical source of truth. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Polymarket Predicts Republicans Winning Both House and Senate. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Recep Tayyip Erdogan wins the 2023 Turkish presidential election. Polymarket's founder is Shayne Coplan. following the controversial removal of CEO Sam Altman and co-founder Greg Brockman, leading to a potential leadership change and questioning the company's. So first you need to "swap" some of your existing Crypto for USDC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Valuations are submitted by companies, mined from state filings or news, provided by VentureSource, or based on a comparables valuation model. Dank Bank co-founder and CEO Harry Jones, the former head of. Polymarket platform for placing crypto bets on COVID, Bennifer 2. Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market. Polymarket's founder is Shayne Coplan. Polymarket has raised $4M over 2 rounds. Polymarket is an information markets platform that lets you trade on the world’s most highly-debated topics (e. Welcome to the Polymarket Docs. – Listen to The Information Market - Polymarket lets traders bet on real-world events by The Crypto Conversation instantly. Polymarket has been fined $1. Is Binance Big Enough to Survive a $4. ) launched the rocket which caused the mentioned explosion. At the time of market creation, AP, CNN, WSJ, Fox, and more have called the election for Joe Biden as the winner, and formally declared him the president-elect,. WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan discusses the accuracy of prediction markets. Welcome to the Polymarket Docs. This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between Sep 1 and October 2, 2023, 12:00 PM ET. 4 million fine and wind down some prediction markets after a CFTC investigation found it was offering illicit options contracts in. Transaction costs on Polymarket are ~2-3%. . Generating Revenue. New York-based Polymarket has hired the former head of the CFTC’s enforcement division to handle the probe, Bloomberg said, again citing sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". About. OpenAI co-founder Sam Altman is set to return as the chief executive officer of the artificial intelligence upstart nearly a week after he was ousted from the company's board, prompting backlash. Augur's Founders and History. 4 million by the C. Bitcoin rises to over $15,000, Spanish firms reveal blockchain-based digital identity project and Polymarket sees fee generation boost. Since its launch approximately 24 hours earlier, the market’s volume totaled just over $75,000. After the market resolves, redeem your winning shares for $1 each. Polymarket will pay a $1. But Polymarket at least enjoys the freedom to host bets on spicy topics like the outcome of a criminal trial. Events. ” If pieces are located, but not the cabin which contains the vessel’s passengers, that will not suffice for this market to resolve to “Yes. Read more: Why Crypto Whales Love. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". network and has extensive experience in blockchain development, backend systems. The issue is… revolutionizing industries. cdtv FM Clip Polymarket Social_Clip Republican Shayne coplan. That’s what price discovery is — aggregating everyone’s opinions and knowledge and. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan discusses the accuracy of prediction markets. It is an open finance application allowing users to bet on various globally debated topics. Intended for use with Python 3. (d/b/a Polymarket. Founder & Chief Executive Officer at Polymarket Shayne Coplan is the Founder & Chief Executive Officer at Polymarket based in New York City, New York. S. regulators in recent months. Just be careful about the transaction costs and the rewards to the liquidity providers. 2,462 Number of Organizations • $30. 4 million along with winding back any markets on the platform that do not comply with CFTC and CEA regulations. Shayne Coplan is the founder of Polymarket, an information markets platform. us only displays past markets, all of which are set to resolve by January 14th, 2022. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U. Connect Chris Orlob San Mateo, CA. Polymarket learned from its predecessors' mistakes. The platform utilizes smart contracts to enable betting on event outcomes through the USDC stablecoin. Candidate country status is conferred by the European Council on the basis of an opinion from the European Commission, drawn up following an application for membership of the European Union (EU) by the country concerned. . At Eco we’ve been working hard on the Eco App — including some major recent updates (see comments for link). When you decide to buy shares in a market, you are weighing in with your own. From my perspective, there seems to be a huge lack of inherent trust factor barrier in any marketplace that must be overcome, and much like wildcat banking of the mid-1800’s frontier America was rife with. Crypto Betting Platform Polymarket Fined $1. While technically a nonpartisan election, Janet Protasiewicz is backed by Democrats, and Daniel Kelly is backed by Republicans. FunFair - London based , 2017 founded , Seed company . The bets are being placed on Polymarket, a blockchain-based betting site that allows users to speculate on events with binary outcomes. Currently, Polymarket odds indicate a 54% chance he will be. Nov 7, 2022 at 4:34 p. One of Polymarket'ss most popular polls shows that the Ethereum-based prediction market's users are betting Republicans will win the midterms. 4 million and ordered it to shut down its markets and offer users full refunds on. Polymarket, which launched in 2020, is. Polymarket is an information markets platform that lets you trade on the world’s most highly-debated topics like crypto, politics, sports, current events, and more. Polymarket began operations in June 2020, offering its users event-based binary options trading contracts, otherwise known as event markets. [2] He was formerly Co-President and Co-Head of Strategic Planning at the firm. Python client for the Polymarket CLOB. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum, wrote a blog post last Feb detailing how he made a profit from such discrepancies on Augur. 4 million by regulators. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan explains why t. m. Exchanges like Coinbase and Crypto. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has fined decentralized betting market Polymarket $1. Polymarket | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. 1M in funding across 23 funding rounds involving 53 investors. r/PredictionDiscord: All things related to Prediction Markets, such as PredictIt, Polymarket, Catnip, Flux, Omen, betfair, Metaculus, Prediqt, etc. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown. MATIC Price History. president. Every day, Swaroop Hegde and thousands of other voices read, write, and share important stories on Medium. It turned into a resurgent moment — albeit a dark one — for online prediction markets. S. Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? $52,256. More for You. m. Polymarket, an online platform for betting on politics, economic indicators and other real-world events, will pay $1. After the market resolves, redeem your winning shares for $1 each. 4 million for allegedly operating an “illegal unregistered or non-designated facility” since June 2020. Polymarket data put the odds of MetaMask airdropping a. a private key. Headquarters Regions Greater New York Area, East Coast, Northeastern US. On Polymarket, investors have priced the likelihood of a Trump indictment happening by March 31 at 68%, or 68 cents. . Date. Direct USDC deposits are fully decentralized, meaning that any person can decide to help Polymarket provide this service. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No. On Polymarket, shares of the Yes. Key Takeaways. 3B Fine and Founder. The order book is a list of every open order to buy or sell shares in a particular market. Free markets are the most effective information aggregators, and Polymarket applies that to the real world. Manifold Markets’ co-founder explains the “wisdom of the crowds effect. Bet on the future and get unbiased real. . Transaction costs on Polymarket are ~2-3%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. With the ultimate aim of preventing the spread of misinformation, Polymarket’s predictions are largely restricted to trendy real-world events. 4 million to settle U. Overall, Polymarket and its competitors have raised over $52. Polymarket | This is a market on whether Coinbase’s NFT platform launches prior to December 31, 2021, 11:59 PM ET. Shayne Coplan is the founder of Polymarket, an information markets platform. Nov 7, 2022 at 4:34 p. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan discusses the accuracy of prediction markets. 529) variant has 95. : 1 In July 2023, they published preprints claiming that it. If Ukraine removes any claim to at least one of The Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Luhansk Oblast, or Donetsk Oblast in the. One of Polymarket'ss most popular polls shows that the Ethereum-based prediction market's users are betting Republicans will win the midterms. Polymarket is a prediction market that came out of stealth in June 2020. ”. While Polymarket did not admit or deny the findings in the order, it is required to cooperate with the CFTC on an ongoing basis and. Co-Founder, CEO @PowerLoomHQ. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". On Jan. Nailwal bet an additional $20K on top of Polymarket’s $50K bet. Polymarket | This is a group market on which parties will win different states in the 2022 U. 2024 Presidential Elections. S. ”. This market's resolution will be based exclusively on SBF's ongoing trial. m. All NewAbout Polymarket. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin remains the President of Russia without interruption from February 28, 2022, through January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET (inclusive). Discover current leadership team members including founders, CEO, other executives and board directors. Hiring • May 19, 2022, 6:40PM EDT. But his higher ambition is that Polymarket, which is just an interface for the open-source. Polymarket founder and CEO, according to CoinDesk. Also, Rally's RLY token launch, Lido enters ETH2 staking party, Polymarket goes to L2. midterm elections. Polymarket is a prediction site on the Ethereum blockchain that enables users to buy and trade “shares” in the outcomes of future events. . With votes still being counted across the country, Republicans maintained an opportunity to win control of Congress. And while this number may seem pretty low, the fact that the bet is being taken at all is noteworthy in itself. I was confident I could thrive in political betting markets.